Friday, 17 March 2023

 From the archives, 25 Dec 1998

OFFICERSHIP IN THE ARMY : A REDEFINITION

Literally,  an officer is one who holds a commission, it being  a


parchment  endorsing  the status conferred by  the  President  of

Republic,  in his capacity as the Supreme Commander of the  Armed

Forces.   In the legal sense, officership is by a virtue  of  ap­

pointment by a constitutionally enjoined  competent  authority.As

any  holder  of  the commission will testify, this  is  merely  a

formal position that by no means can encompass the depth the term
 

has acquired in practice over the millenia.

 

 

While  it  is indeed the highest  constitutional  authority  that 

confers  the  responsibility  of  officership  on  self-selecting 

aspirants,  selected and trained to bear it, it has the value  of

the paper it is written on, until it is ratified   in the  hearts

of  the men the officer commands.  This perspective  on  officer­

ship highlights the crucial nature of the moral covenant, between

the officer and his men, to the legitimacy and his  effectiveness

as  an officer.   (Though the masculine gender is used,  the  ob­

servations hold true in equal measure for lady officers).
 

 

This  has been a trans-historical and  cross-cultural  phenomenon

with regard to officering in the army, owing to the incidence  of

wars  in  inter-societal relations, and the  convergence  in  the

methods and means of war - a function of the process of  mimesis. 

Owing  to a shared genetic inheritance, human nature  varies   at

best to accommodate environment related ethnic peculiarities, but

never  so  much  as to preclude officiership  from  the  societal

division  of  labour.   The role, simply, is  leadership  of  the

fighting  man,  and lately the management of  the  instrument  of

violence.
 

 

As  with most dynamic institutions, army officership has  had  to

keep  pace with military evolution.  In this era  of  accelerated

history, there has been a change in the nature of armed conflict,

stemming,  of necessity, from social change.  The consequence  on

the nature of officership has been transformative, a process that

is on-going, both, surely and rapidly. 
 

 

This  essay is a theoretical examination  of the impact  of  this

process  of change on the nature of officership in the army.   In

order  to escape the tag of being merely `academic', it  takes  a

critical  look at officership in the Indian army, as a  precursor

to  a  prescriptive agenda.  The aim is to  analyse  the  ongoing

redefinition of officeship, in order to inform thinking on policy

and the Indian Army.
 

 

A THEORETICAL OVERVIEW

 

On the Nature of Officership
 

 

The  army  as an institution bears the social  responsibility  of

provision of security.  To this end, it has relative autonomy  in

terms  of  corporate identity; expertise in  the  management  and

application  of violence; and a representative function,  to  in­

clude an advisory one (Huntington).  Of necessity, the  army   is

hierarchical, comprising three layers - the executive, the super­

visory  and  the directional. The army fills the slots  in  these

layers  by dint of merit and seniority.  At the executive  level,

the  junior  officers are at the interface with man  and  machine

that  comprise  the tools of war.  The supervisory level  is  for

effective  management  of the means of war.  At  the  directional

level,  concern  is with the methods of application of  force  to

beget  security - it being defined politically.   
 

 

An  alternative  interpretation is in the form of  the  tactical,

operational, and strategic level - the realm of `grand  strategy'

being  reserved for the political master, but at which  the  army

must fulfill its representative function.  Yet another variant is

in  the command  and staff alternation - this being by virtue  of

the  appointment  held or by the nature of the  appointee,  as  a

warrior  or a non-warrior.  In short, the foregoing  taxonomy  of

officership makes for a complex analytical exercise.
 

 

 

Combat  effectiveness of the army is a function of  coherence  of

the  three  levels, and  the  deftness of  enlightened  political

control.   Of  vital importance in this regard is  the  executive

level.   Input from military sociology is unanimous on  the  fact

that the fighting man fights not for god, country or the  colors,

as myth would have it, but for a primary group, no larger than  a

sub-unit.   This owes to horizontal bonding, termed as  cohesion. 

Since  the  physiological, phychological and social needs of  the

individual are met under adverse conditions by his comrades,  his

identity expands to encompass sub-unit, to the extent of  instil­

ing  a  willingness to the sacrifice his very own  life  for  its

preservation.
 

 

If that be findings of research from numerous conflicts, it gives

us  a clue as to the role of officership at the executive  level. 

It is to ensure instilment and positive articulation of  cohesion

for  organisational  ends.   These organisational  ends  are  the

military interpretation of political ends done at the directional

level,  by senior officers, colloquially referred to as  `brass'. 

The  supervisory  level is to ensure vertical cohesion  for  they

form  the intermediary level.  The brass have an additional  task

of ensuring societal support for military endeavor.  This, along­

with  horizontal and vertical integration, begets  organisational

cohesion  - a prerequisite for combat effectiveness,  the  raison

d'etre of an officer corps.
 

 

On the Nature of Society and War

 

 

With  the foregoing as encapsulation of the discourse  on  levels

and  roles,  gauging the impact of the changing nature  of  armed

conflict  on  the same,  is in order.  That `armed  conflict'  is

being  used  to substitute  for `war' is evidence enough  of  the

changed nature of `war'.  In fact, `war', having been outlawed in

the  Charter era, has undergone mutations best expressed  by  the

inclusive term `armed conflict'.
 

 

This change owes to societal change - a characteristic feature of

collective human existence - that varies from being  evolutionary

to  revolutionary, and is not necessarily linear.   The  explana­

tions  on  the omni-present feature of force and its  utility  in

societal affairs and inter-societal relations, also vary from the

realist  and neo-realist views to leftist versions of the  elite-

mass  dichotomy.  Suffice it to mention, for the purpose of  this

essay,  that  it is only lately, with the  `triumph'  of  liberal

democracy and socially responsive capitalism, that there has been

emergence of what are termed as `warless societies'.
 

 

While  this  change is from the modern to  the  post-modern,  the

industrial to the information age,  ethnic to the national, it is

a  certainty that the period of transition to  the  communication

revolution inspired global village, shall be marked by the itera­

tive use to force.  Thus, though officersahip is not obsolescent,

the  roles require constant revision. 
 

 

The  Moskos classification  is taken as the start point for  this

analysis.  `Warless societies' apart, most societies fall in  the

`war-deterrent' and `war-preparedness' categories.  The latter is

true  for  most Third World states, whereas the  former  includes

states  trying to escape the Third World tag.   In  war-readiness

societies, the army is mass oriented; low-tech; territory defend­

ing; and anthoritarian in leader orientation.  In `war-dererrent'

societies  the  army is lean, hi-tech, democratic  in  ethos  and

cammands  a  high  per-capita expenditure.  In  the  former,  its

components  are  easily replaceable; in the latter they  are  too

expensive to lose. 
 

 

In this is the germ of the obsolescence of the utility of  force. 

A  weaponry too expensive, and nuclearisation, have  combined  to

eliminate war as an option in the extension of politics by  other

means.  Thereby, the onset of `warless societies', in which mili­

tary  power  has been eclipsed by the economic component  as  the 

determinant of power, influence, and index of prosperity. 
 

 

Another facet of social organisation - the state system, and  its

evolution,  has  had an influence on the nature  of  officership. 

The  state has in the modern era grown to maturity, and  is  even

now  under  the  threat of supercession.   In  pre-modern  times,

feudal ties bound the aristocracy which their retainers.  In  the

early periods of state formation, the elite provided officers and

the  masses soldiers, the inter-relationship  being  patrimonial. 

With  the onset of nationalism, maturing of the concept of  citi­

zenship,  and  the impact of technology, this  linkage  has  been 

professionalised.   Socio-economic change in terms  of  equality,

education,  rising  living standards,  spread  of  opportunities,

urbanisation etc, and the premium on expertise in handling  tech­

nology intensive weaponry, the patronising element in officer-man

relations  has been rendered anachronistic.  This is more  so  in

technical arms. Where the human element is central to   function,

there  also the professional content also over-shadows, the  per­

sonal  bond.  Thus is seen the clausewitzian trinity  -  society,

state  and the military - interactive in the sociological  field,

the impact being of transformative character.
 

 

 

OFFICERSHIP IN THE INDIAN ARMY
 

 

On the Nature of Indian Society
 

 

Indian society in its cultural space transcends the boundaries of

the Indian state.  It encompasses the three civisational waves  -

agricultural, industrial, and post-industrial.  It is  internally

differentiated, with coexisting contradictions and complementari­

ties.   An army, being but a cross-section of  society,  reflects

the same in ethos, composition and structure.
 

 

For instance, the army still retains an inherited racial composi­

tion, alongwith innovations on composite lines. Its officer class

has  an industrial age orientation; whereas the soldiery  in  the 

technical  arms is educated, informed and  competent, while  that

in  the major fighting arm - the infantry - is still  largely  of

 

 

 

peasant  stock.  Nuclear weaponry and missiles coexist with  gen­

erations-old small arms.  In officer culture, a warrior ethos  is

coexistent with a technocrat-managerial one.  Therefore, as  with

Indian  society, reflections on the Indian army can only be  lit­

tered with qualifications.
 

 

Based  on the preceding theory, Indian society may be classed  as

transiting  from  being  a war-deterrent to  a  warless  society.

Earlier the army had been permitted its toys, evident from  India

having  the dubious distinction of being the largest importer  of

arms through the 80s.  However the balance of payments crisis  in

the  early 90s, caused in part by the military profligacy of  the

80s,   resulted in a resource  crunch.  This has also been  occa­

sioned  by the ongoing economic liberalisation, which is  primary

evidence with regard to Indian society effecting the said transi­

tion. In effect, the message is for a strategic disengagement, in

favour of an economic reach into a globalised market. 
 

 

Secondary  evidence is in the form of the lowered status  of  the

officer class, despite the  military rearguard action in terms of

hi-tech  acquisition  and high visibility public  relations  cam­

paign.  Beside periodic recording of parliamentary concern, there

is  also  little evidence of `societal attention for  the  army's

preoccupations in operational areas as Kashmir and Siachen - this

despite ascendance, in recent times, of the right wing in  polit­

ics.  Clearly, the Indian elite is attuned to the global environ­

ment,  while the regional elite and masses in general are  inter­

ested in the economic dividend and the local agenda.  
 

 

The  consequence is on, both, the soldiery and the  officer,  and

their inter-relationship.  The army is now  `just another job' in

the job market, easily accessible to the middle rung of qualified

candidates.   The  officer  is thus faced with  the  question  of

whether the army is `more than just a job' (Moskos), particularly 

in  operations.  To the soldier his job remains  `rozgaar',  till

the ties that bind become apparent in face of danger.
 

 

In the technical arms, this situation is better handled given the 

mediation  of  hardware.  It is in the fighting arms that  it  is

deemed  a malaise, the solution being seen as a leadership  func­

tion  of officer-leaders, who, as the paradox would have it,  are

themselves  afflicted with the same, as an entity.   Thus,  where

`paltan ki izzat' was to foster  cohesion, it has been  corrupted

by the careerist virus.  Elitism in weaponry operated or  skills,

compensates in some measure, but, for the large mass of the army,

the  answer is in extensive surgery, in consonance with  indirect

societal demands. 
 

 

The  problem  with this is in inertia, vested   interest,  and  a

dated  role  definition.   More importantly, there  seems  to  be

inadequate  comprehension of the psychology of the fighting  man. 

This is most evident from the experimentation with the  Rashtriya

Rifles in operations.  Whereas, cohesive groups perform best,
 

this  nascent  organisation  has a curious mix  of  officers  and

soldiers  - any bond they form being one in face of danger.   The

impact of this on the operational environment - the Kashmiri com­

munity  - aside, such a disregard of fundamentals, to work  round

personnel  problems of the early 90's, is suspect.  The  problem,

therefore,  will  also be one stemming from  lack  of  conceptual

clarity.
 

 

The  broad tenets of such reengineering in the long term  include

downsizing,  professionalising,  and disengaging  from  an  omni-

directional  forward  posture.  In the short  term  the  in-house

measures already instituted may be reviewed as part the an intro­

spection  to  discern  the direction, the ends, and  the  way  to

negotiate the interim.     
 

 

It is the `holy cow' image stemming from lethargy and ignorance ,

and the success, in some measure, of the army's public  relations

blitz,  that  will  keep at bay  external  pressure  for  reform. 

Therefore  the premium on in-house measures.  These will be  sub­

ject to group think, traditionalism and prejudice in the form  of

`when we were youngsters', especially of the brass.  The  problem
 

 

is compounded by the upper echelon having the onus of  initiating

change  in  hierarchial and quasi-authoritarian  systems  as  the

army.   Any prescription will have to be sensitive to  these  re­

tarding  issues  if it is to be relevent.   It  must,  therefore,

identity  key  issues;  create the mental space  with  regard  to

these; and suggest an evolutionary program.
 

 

Firstly,  a  re-education is recommended for the  officer  corps.  

At  the  in-service level it may be in the form  of  capsules  in

courses, but it must be incorporated into pre-commission academic
 

syllabi.  This would include military sociology and a history  of

war,  the latter being different from present-day campaign  study

format.  This would aid professionalism to develop, for an empha­

sis  on technical features brings about a technocratic  approach. 

The  present learning by rote model has to give way to a  reading

habit,  for  gaining breadth and depth of  perspective.   Insight

from the management sciences, imported by the sabbatical  system,

must be disseminated by proper post-sabbatical employment of such

officers. 
 

 

Secondly,  a  fallout of the above will  be  in  professionalism. 
 

This  would undercut careerist short cuts.  Professionalism  imp­
 

lies  a  work oriented approach, as distinguished  from  a  task-
 

oriented  one.  It would help the army adapt to the  occupational
 

features  that are, of necessity, eroding the institutional  base
 

of  the  army.  It would enable cross-fertilisation in  terms  of
 

ideas, models and processes from the civil world.

 

 

Thirdly,  a downsizing is imperative.  The much touted figure  of

12000 (increased recently to 13000) deficiency is evidence of the

inflated authorisation figures.  Expansion to fill these will  be

expansion  in pursuit of institutional interest, quite  like  the

dilution  in  the rank structure of the early 80s,  or  the  fait

accompli  nature of raising additional  formations,  headquarters

and  forces as the Rashtriya Rifles.  On the contrary  a  contra­

ction  is recommended.  This will be predicated on change in  the

 

threat  perception that necessitates expansion.  The  paradox  in

that a large force makes for poor quality, that in turn leads  to

larger size as compensation.
 

 

With  this as recommendatory grid, an examination of the  effects

on officership in its man-management facet is in order.  The  off

shoot  of  the study of modern management  practices,  human  and

organisational  psychology, and sociology in its military  dimen­

sion, is self explanatory.   A more aware and self-aware  officer

is  better than a  tradition bond one.  The result of  forging  a

professional  superior-subordinate  bound will result  in  higher

combat  effectiveness.   Whereas  the importance  of  a  paternal

relationship   with  the  primary group is conceded,  is  it  the

source of this is in the undue proliferation of troop  engagement

in non-military activity - as a tacit bargain.  Lastly,  downsiz­

ing will result in improved quality across the board.  The  indi­

rect  fallout will be in a non-threatening size, with respect  to

our  neighbors, and, thereby, a reduction in a threat  perception

answered by expansion.
 

 

Conclusion
 

 

Summing  up the Indian Scene, it may be said that Indian  society

has been historically  introspective.  The reasons for  continua­

tion of the phenomenon owe now to economic causes.  The strategic

community's  external  focus and effort, in  incidental  alliance

with  the  right wing of polity, to project the same  onto  civil

society, has had visibility, but insubstantial penetration.   The

Indian army, if it is to live  up to its democratic ethos, has to

take its cue from society. 
 

 

Principally,  it requires to disengage and  downsize;  re-educate

and  professionalise; and cater for accomodation of  occupational

trends  within  an institutional ethos.  The impact  of  this  on

officership,  in  its leadership function, would  keep  the  army

apace  with the impact of societal change on, both,  the  officer
 

 

cadre  and the soldiery.  At the officer-man  interface,  profes­

sional detachment would increase with the level and corresponding

role  of  the  officer.  With the non-gazetted  cadre  bearing  a

greater weight at the executive level, the officers could  attend

to  the  management of the means of violence and  application  of

force with greater vigour.
 

CONCLUSION

 

 

The  nature  of armed conflict having  become  increasingly  more

complex,   officership has to be redefined in light of the aim  -

combat  effectiveness.   Officership has  acquired  a  managerial

slant, at the cost of reduction on the premium on leadership.   A

superior  quality of personnel is the requirement, as corollary - 

among other reasons.  Societal change has the potential to deliv­

er  on this requirement.  This can be tapped by making  the  army

socially relevant.  This can be achieved through a sociologically

aware  officer cadre aligning organisational ends with  those  of

society.  This is in the realm of political control of the  mili­

tary.  Given the economic pre-occupation of polity, the army,  as

an institution, will require self-regulation in this regard.
 

 

That  said, the officer cadre will contine to build and  maintain

organisational  cohesion;  in  short, the  executive  level  will

remain  concerned with horizontal integration.  However, a  tech­

nology savvy and `professional' soldiery, enable a will downgrad­

ing  of   the leadership function. Thus,  officer roles  will  be

redefined as  interpreting a given societal conjuncture to  gauge

the  utility of the military addressal of the same, and  if  need

be,  enable  the instrumental use of force towards  the  approved

political end.  Clearly, officership is no longer to `win the
 

next  war', but to control the logic, dynamics and  dialectic  of
 

force. 

 

 

 

 From the archives, 7 Nov 1998 


REFLECTIONS ON OFFICERSHIP IN THE INFANTRY

The  perennial  debate of art versus science,  leadership  versus


management, moral versus material, human versus technical, ideal­

ism versus pragmatism etc find echo in the demands on officers as

functionaries fulfiling a role.  Whereas it would be an arbitrary 

`last word', the argument in this essay is that, in so far as the

infantry  is  concerned, the contours of the `last word'  on  the

subject are discernible.  These are traced in this essay  through

an  investigation of the responsibilities  conferred by the  role

of officering infantry; prioritising these; and assessing officer

orientation  with respect to these.   It would appear  from  this

exercise, as a `last word', that officership in infantry ought to

incline towards the former extreme of the contrasting  conceptual

pairs mentioned.
 

 

[1]Prioritising responsibilities [1]

 

The  task of an infantry officer is to prepare, and, if need  be,

employ  the infantry in fulfiling  its role-based mission.   This

task entails responsibility  on three planes - the material,  the 

operational,  and the moral.  The connotations of the  first  are

fairly  self-evident and include `hardware'-centered  aspects  as 

administration and logistics .  The operational plane encompasses

`software'  in terms of planning, and training  in  accomplishing

the same.  The moral plane involves ministering the human element

in preparing for, and during, battle.
 

 

All  three  planes are complementary  and  mutually  influencing.

Therefore, all require attention at every level of the hierarchy. 

However,  a  broad prioritisation, with respect to the  level  of

command, can be attempted, as tabulated below :-
 

 

----------------------------------------------------------------

[1]Priority    |      I             II             III

------------|

Level[1]       |

----------------------------------------------------------------
 

[1]Formation[1]   Material       Operational     Moral
 

[1]Unit[1]        Operational    Moral           Material
 

[1]Sub-Unit[1]    Moral          Operational     Material
 

----------------------------------------------------------------

 

The  logic that informs this tabulation is that the   closer  the

level is to the  infanteer, the more  salient is the responsibil­

ity on the moral plane.  Since, the influence of the  operational

plane  is more direct  on the moral plane  (ably employed  troops

being  more effective than the better fed), its  supercession  of

the material plane in the  levels that directly deal with troops.
 

The  dominance of the moral plane at the lower level owes to  the

salience of the human element in combat, and indeed, in preparing

for  the same.  The understanding here is that the best  equipped

army operating on a wizard of a plan may prove inadequate in  the

absence  of cohesion - the latter being an element  on the  moral

plane.  Having appreciated  this, a look at officer  orientation,

in  terms  of stereotypes, to this facet of the  infantry  is  in

order.
 

 

Officer Orientation

 

Infantry  officers can be placed on a continuum from  warrior  to

non-warrior,  based on their dominant orientation, or the sum  of

their  respective orientations across a spectrum of  characteris­

tics.   A  defining  feature of the distinction between  the  two

sets of officers is their sensitivity and responsiveness to their

respective  responsibility on the moral plane .   The  `warriors'

are  those that are sensitive, whereas the non-warriors are  less

so.
 

 

A contrast, based on assorted approachs and attitudes, is present‑
 

ed under :-

                       |

---------------------------------------------------------------

 

Clearly,  their  differing   characteristics  account  for  their

professional  utility.   Whereas,  non-warriors  may  prove  more

effective  on  staff,  in peace stations, in the run  up  to  the

battle, in handling routine,technical and managerial matters, and

paperwork;  warriors  are required at the spear  end,  where  the

rubber   meets the road.  Where the raw material is men, and  the

environs elemental, its warriors we need.  It is well known  that

`men cannot be `managed' to their possible deaths'. In short  the

infantry needs officer-warriors.
 

 

The 'Last Word'

 

Here space does not permit going into the debate whether warriors

are  `born'  or`made'. It is validated theory that  environs  and

inheritance  mould identities.  Therefore, given a martial  envi­

ronment, creating warriors is a workable proposition.  This logic

 

informs the upbringing efforts at the academies and in units.
 

Suffice it to say that the infantry has its  complement of warri­

or-officers, as any casualty or citation list will testify.
 

Another  debate, on whether alternation between the  two  identi­

ties, depending on the extant circumstances, is at all  possible,

may  be raised at this juncture.  As mentioned, the  characteris­

tics  covered  in the table, are found in some measure  in  every

officer.  Therefore, an officer can capitalise on any as and when

required for fulfilling appointment related roles.  However,  the

orientation as a warrior or non-warrior will determine effective­

ness,  nature  of output, and comfort with the  appointment.   In

short,  once a warrior always a warrior - even if the role be  of

paper-pushing content. Similarly, no non-warrior officer will  be

able to ratify his appointment in the hearts of his men, particu­

larly so when lead bestirs the air into a frenzy.
 

 

However,  it is moot, with some concern, that the  `system'  con­

spires  to `unmake' warriors.  The system-determined demands of a

career,  professional  longevity and  placement-satisfaction  are

skewed in favour of the non-warrior, reliant as it is on the core

characteristics  found in them.  The impact of the  clashing  de­

mands,  of  the system and the infantry, on an officer  needs  no

elucidation.  A  tentative explanation of survivability  of   the

warrior orientation in officers depends on respective  dependence

on  the  service  sustenance and the attraction  of  `jhanda  and

danda'.   The decisive distinction between the two sets of  offi­

cers, therefore, is whether they stand the test of the system. By

this  yardstick,  it would appear that the test  of  an  infantry

officer  is to be prepared to pay the price of the  privilege  of

being counted a warrior among warriors.       
 

 

 

 

 

 From the archive, 1 Dec 1998

THE FAUJI MEMSAHIB : A MORE THAN COSMETIC CHANGE

Published in USI Journal 

The army officer is bigamous.  He marries the army on commission,


and,  later,  marries for love, if lucky.  Both wives,  he  finds

have a greedy claim on his time, attention and energy.  The first

wife  - the army - demands optimum performance,  as  contribution

towards enhancing combat efficiency.  The second wife - the lady-

wife  -  is  relegated to a junior partnership, for  she  too  is

expected  to contribute to enhancing the officer's optimum,  and,

thereby, to higher combat efficiency.  In effect the army is  the

more  demanding  spouse, its demands being ministered to  by  the

couple - one member paid and the other unpaid.  This throws up on

another interpretation of this triangle, it being that the  lady-

wife  weds not only the officer, but also the army.   In  effect,

each of the three has a bigamous relationship with the other two,

albeit  one mediated by  the officer. However, the army is  prone

more to behaving as a mother-in-law, than a jealous co-spouse. 
 

 

The  problem arises when the officer emphasises one  relationship

at  the  cost of the other.  Neglect of the army by  the  officer

erodes  combat efficiency.  Neglect of the wife  also  eventually

detracts  from  combat efficiency by creating dissonance  in  his

mind  and friction in the house.  Thus, the army,  whose  primary

purpose  of  maintaining a relationship with the officer  is  the

generation of combat efficiency, has to admit, if grudgingly, the

demands of the junior spouse.  The army must recognise that these

are getting acute and are multiplying. In fact it must facilitate

their articulation and accommodation.
 

 

The  army has thus far managed to keep the junior wife  happy  in

her  asymmetric relationship.  The community life on that  island

in  society  - the cantonment- has been self contained.   It  has

been  fulfiling for the wife, in so far, as her  expectations  on

joining  the  fauji extended family were met,  and  socialisation

into  military  mores complete.  Thus, her role was to  keep  the

hearth  warm, while the officer's first wife remained central  to

his existence.
 

 

This  cocoon  of existence is under the threat  of  change.   The

army,  being the custodian of security of society, has to  manage

the change, so that it furthers its social purpose.  A  prerequi­

site  to controlling change is to recognise and understand  these

trends,  channelise and direct them.  In short, in military  par­

lance, to `sieze the initiative'. 
 

 

These  trends are `threats', in so far, as they are  directed  at

the  status-quo.  But reinforcing and reproducing the  status-quo

is  not a considered reaction.  Their inevitability  demands  the

army  make  an  ally of `change'.  For its part  in  this  triple

alliance, it must change it self, thereby making change benign  -

both,  desired  and for the better.  Reacting to change,  on  the

other  hand, would leave the army with fewer options,  less  con­

trol, and more unstable; while rendering `change'  unpredicatable

in its eventual consequence on combat effectiveness. 
 

 

What then are these trends? They emanate, firstly, in the  chang­

ing character of the military as a profession, and, secondly,  in

the changing social milieu - of which the army is but a part.
 

 

The  army  is moving from being and  `institution'  to  acquiring

`occupational' characteristics.  There is now a shift to it being

`just  another  job'.  But the possibility of a call  for  laying

down  one's life in the line of duty will always ensure that  the

army is `more than just a job'. 
 

 

The increasing horizontal identification of the army officer with

his peers in society has occasioned this shift. The narrowing  of

skill  differential between the civil and military - a result  of

specialisation; change of locus in organisational authority  from 

authoritarian to persuasion; cross-fertilisation; and  self-defi­

nition  of the officer from a `war leader' to a  technocrat-mana­

ger,  are  indicators of the shift.  The army is  achanging,  and

this will, of necessity, impact on the family. For instance,  the
 

officer is now more inclined to identify with a briefcase  carry­

ing  excutive, and, in his winter dress, even sports a tie.   The

image  of such excutives is completed not by sati-savitri  wifes,

but  by forward bhartiya naris of the X-generation - at  home  in

both  jeans and saris, in the bedroom and the boardroom.   There­

fore, the officer-excutive will likewise prospect for such a wife

- the `new' wife. 
 

 

But  the impact on the family of the  on-going social  change  is

more dramatic.  Society, particularly the middle class, in  which

officer recruitment is anchored, is in the vortex of this change. 

The  spouses,  and prospective army brides, are subject  to  this

trend.   They cannot be expected to be `junior'  wives,  deriving

fulfillment from a dependent identity - that of an  army  `wife'. 

Individuality now finds self-expression in work.  Satisfaction is

no  longer  in being a `wife' alone, but also in a  career  -  in

being a `whole woman'.  Feminism now at an ascendent, precludes a

unilateral supportive role of a husband, and expects mutuality in

need-fulfillment.   It  is moot therefore,  whether,  the  army's

`cocoon-model' can be  hospitable to the `new' wife.
 

 

The  status-quoist  would prefer  exclusion of  the  `new'  wife. 

Spouse  recruitment  would be required to confine  itself  to  an

`adaptable'  spouse.   This is evident from  the  increasing  in­

cidence  of marriage of officers to working women, whose  job  is

transferable - officer's commitments assuming precedence.   While

working  wives  are an economic imperative, stereotyping  of  the

wives  job  (eg. teaching at lower grades), makes  for  a  narrow

social base of bride hunting; disproportion between income levels

and  aspiration within the couple; and, possible,  saturation  of

the  job/spouse market.  Thus, it is likely  that,  increasingly,

officers  will  marry women with higher paying,  career  oriented

and,  therefore, static job.  The influence of media  visuals  on

choice cannot be understimated.   The lissome lasses, that media-

carted,  with  the  luggage, from one duty  station  to  another. 

Being  a `wife' is now only a part of an identity.    The  future

army  will, therefore, no longer be the dominant source  of  emo­

tional  sustenance;  need gratification;  value  orientation  and

identification. In short, the army will lose its pre-eminence  in

a post-modern conjugal bond.
 

 

This  would be a `threat', should it impact adversely  on  combat

effectiveness,  of individuals and of the officer fraternity.  In

order to assess the need for change, a look at the status quo  is

in  order.  Does it contribute to combat efficiency on a  modern-  

day battle-field?  
 

 

The `cocoon-model' was relevent in isolated, cantonmented, commu­

nities.   Transplantation from one to another did not then  cause

dissonance,  far, while the  geography changed,  the  environment

did  not.  But the model is obsolescent.  No longer can the  can­

tonment, itself under pressure from civil intrusion, provide  the

ambience  of  yore.   The environs, and  consequent  standard  of

living, were themselves a result of troop labour, hardly conscie­

nable  in  an  egalitarian society.   The  partimonial,  possibly

feudal,  and the increasing preception of a patronising  officer-

man, and by extention the lady wife-OR family relationship, is no

longer  tenable. Corruption of the system (eg; abuse of  the  sa­

hayak facility and 'pokora-eating binges of memsahibs' at welfare

centres) has further eroded its legitimacy.  Thus, the status-quo

is vulnerable to a bottom-up change.  Since such a deaneument  is

unacceptable,  it  is  best that the ineviatable  be  ushered  in

piecemeal.  For this the  army must take to the rudder.
 

 

Ingredients of the alternative model would include a less demand­

ing  army,  in  so far as the personal life of  the  officers  is

concerned.   Only the professional input of the officer  need  be

sought.  Even this has to be regulated - especially for  the  up­

wardhy  mobile, as the long hours, to keep up with  a  workaholic
 

boss,  has a  corresponding impact on family life.  The boss  may

be fighting mid-life blues, and his subordinate to assure  career

progression, but for both it is at the cost of martial  harmoney. 

Absentee  fatherhood, in an era of nuclear families  and  working

mothers,  is an  unremarked fall out of the escalator syndrome  -

its  'up  or  out'. Cohesion at the work  place,  through  family

interaction  (as through the `calling-on' procedure or  parties),

is  at  times counter-productive.  Broad-baseing of  officer  and

spouse  recruitment  has made these procedures  archaic,  if  not

problematic.   Furthermore, if the `new' wife is  to  demonstrate

her commitment to the force, as of now, to what extent would  the

army  be  permissive of a reciprocal commitment  by  the  officer

husband in the social demands of his spouses job?  After all,  in

a modern marital adventure both partners are equal.
 

 

This  reduction  of  institutional demands on  the  spouse  would

permit   her personal pursuit of self-actualisation in  demanding

careers.   Thus, would the family unit be happier, and,  thereby,

the officer's professional involvement enhanced.  A fallout would

be increase in output,  owing to the officer's ego-based need  to

keep up with his wife.  This contribution to growth of the  offi­

cer is the foremost advantage the `new' wife confers on the army.
 

 

Contrast  this with the `house-wife' of yore.  While the  officer

`grew' as a person and a professional all through his career, the

wife  often   stagnated.   Though these days they hold  down  low

paying, minimally satisfying jobs, their attention to the job  at

the  cost  of the home, is compensated by army  input  in  family

regulation,  in  terms  of diversion  of  military  resources  to

`family welfare'.  This is both rationally and ethically  untena­

ble.   In a liberalised markeplace, a double-income lifestyle  is

facilitated by consumer durables designed for the same.  Besides,

these  are now affordable, owing to a higher  income  level,  ad­

justed  for inflation, and, middle-class enticing brand  pricing. 

Therefore, the cantonments must be redesigned as  self-sustaining

cooperatives - models of which exist in Indian suburbia.   
 

 

To attract such co-spouses for its officers, the army would  need

to  package them attractively.  Today they are at the  bottom  of

the groom-market.  Monetary compensation for leading  `separated-

family'  existences is a must. Competitive pay scale is  a  self-

evident necessity that has been addressed to a limited extent  in

the  recent pay Commission.  The likely reduction in spouse  par­

ticipation in institutional life, can be balanced by the  equally

necessary  (for  other equally compelling reasons)  reduction  in

army   support   of  the  family  (eg.  through   provisions   of

`sahayaks').  Thus, the army would be relying more on society for

anchoring  families.   This in itself would erode  the  `institu­

tion', for out of olive  green, the officer will be more at  ease

with,  absorbtive, and linked to civil society.   
 

 

This  deepening connection with society is in keeping in a  demo­

cratic  military  ethic.  Isolation  by the British  of  military

communities was then a political necessity.  Today it may even be

dangerous,  should the isolation from the society, of  the  mili­

tary, lead it to view  the social and political marketplace  with

a  typically conservative military lens.  Thus, it is not  combat

effectiveness  alone that is a determinant of a  military's  com­

petence,  but  also it permeation with  the  democratic  military

ethic - the latter being enhanced by the social anchoring provid­

ed by the `new' wife.
 

 

The army, just as any organism,  has to adapt to its environment. 

It  does   so  more readily to technological advance,  but  is  a

generation behind societal change.  Whereas this may have been  a

prudent  and  professional   requirement earlier, in  an  era  of

telescoped  change, the army may end up as a social  anachronism. 
 

That  it  is aware of the direction it must  venture  is  evident

from its pre-Pay Commission campaign, that included allusions  to

the  officer  placement at the bottom of the  groom-ladder.   Its

leadership's  present  emphasis  on proper  troop  employment  is 

another  pointer.   Clearly,  we have an army  sensitive  to  the

symbolic  importance  of  the impending turn  of  the  millenium. 

However, in its drive to modernise hardware and update  software,

it would be prescient for it to reappraise, as done here, a facet

of its humanware - form memsahib to ma'am.
 

 


 From the Archives, 31 May 2001

THE DOCTRINAL CHALLENGE

Published in USI Journal 

Two important documents have been released recently for the security community to digest, and for the lay person to apprise himself/herself about the relatively opaque field for security.  Both together fulfill a long felt need of transparency and articulation of Indian strategic thaught.  The first is the dIND of the NSAB, the second is the army publication on `fundamentals, doctrine and concepts' by its think tank, the ARTRAC.While the otherwise welcome dIND did encounter a controversial reception, the army doctrine, though unclassified, has kept a low profile.  Even though the army doctrine preceded the dIND by a year, it did give out an institutional position on the nuclear question that was later echoed the dIND.  Whereas the dIND has rightly been discussed threadbare, if has not been read in relation to pre-existing service doctrines, such as that of the air-force and the army.  This owes largely to the independent origins of all three.  Therefore, despite such doctrinal effusion, there is only incomplete evidence of doctrinal clarity.  In short, the present doctrinal challenge is to attain the same.

The requirement of such evolution is to instill and enable jointness; to provide unambiguous guidance for decision makers; to iron out institutional conflict; and to inform the citizenry of the good health of the security system.  But by far the most important reason for taking these as a start-point, rather than an end-product, is to convey an unmistakable message to potential adversaries.  Since deterrence is now the mainstay of Indian security intent, its credibility is bolstered by definitive communication.  Towards this end the doctrinal challenge needs now to be met. 

Both the doctrines are unanimous on the need to acquire a nuclear deterrent.  To both the deterrent, is with respect to nuclear use by a prospective opponent, and not necessarily to deter war itself.  Both advocate a minimum credible nuclear capability based on a triad of delivery systems.  Both are cognisant of the political utility of nuclear weapons.  However, when mated there emerges a conundrum that has thus far escaped comment of analysts.  This article highlights a specific problem area at the junction of the dIND and the army doctrine with respect to nuclear use.

 

Specifically, the nuclear conundrum  will have origin in enemy (read Pakistani) reaction to operationalisation of the army doctrine.  The army doctrine postulates a pro-active, aggressive, and offensive strategy in pursuit of decisive vitory on enemy territory.  Should we assume Pakistan as an adversary, it would imply threatening of Pakistani vital areas directly and comprehensively.  This would be to capitalise on the Pakistani vulnerability of lack of depth, and our own conventional superiority.  Such a doctrine, coupled with air force efforts as dictated by its own doctrine, can only eventuate in a nuclear response from Pakistan under the logic of `last resort'; `use it or lose it'; or of `nothing to lose'.

This gives rise to three problems. One is the lowering of the nuclear threshold by Pakistan in the hope of deterring such a conventional tryst.  Second is the pre-emptive employment of its nuclear capability by Pakistan in order to negate the launch of the Indian offensive.  Last is the usage of the nuclear weapons on military targets in own territory in order to redress the conventional imbalance.  This may take the form of a shot-across-the-bow or the `greenfield' option.  Of these the last will be legally and morally justifiable; the second is less so but is not entirely unreasonable; and the first is certainly unexceptionable.  In short, we have handed Pakistan a fair case for retrospective justification of nuclear use.

The nuclear conundrum is however of a higher order.  In face of such Pakistani action, we will be required to make good on our dIND declaration of intent of unleashing `unacceptable damage' on receipt of a nuclear attack.  We have also included a nuclear attack on our forces as trigger.  In such straits as outlined, India will not be able to make good on its promise.  In effect, the threat lacks credibility not only for the absense of justification, but also because we will be self-deterred from escalating.  In technical jargon, Pakistan will enjoy escalation dominance.  It will enable conflict termination on favourable terms for Pakistan, as international pressure will then be both swift and sure.

The conundrum, therefore, is in our inability to distinguish between `first strike' and `first use'.  Whereas `unacceptable damage' in return for `first strike' is credible, against `first use' it is less so.  Causing `unacceptable damage' is comprehensible only if the enemy is denied like satisfaction in revenge.  This can only be through an attempt at a successful `first strike' against the enemy's `first use'.  There be no guarantee of `success', `unacceptable damage' to own assets is not unlikely.  It is this that makes Pakistani `first use' viable, while denying same status to our formulation.  By no means is there a certainity of `first use' being as a `first strike'.  Indeed, the contrary is likely to be true.

This explains Pakistani reservations on our `no first use' offer, besides the fact that their interpretation of deterrence is wider than ours.  For them it is to deter  war itself, and not merely an opponent's use of nuclear weapons.  For us, it is to deter nuclear use, since, as the army doctrine indicates, our superiority convinces us of continued utility of the military as a political instrument.

In summary of the argument made thus far, it may be said that our doctrinal efforts have in one fell swoop negated both our conventional and nuclear advantage.  Military action, at the conventional level, would invite Pakistani nuclear response.  However, Pakistani nuclear use, by no means, implies a carte blanche for our nuclear forces.  The conundrum, therefore, will arise when Pakistan takes ample care in nuclear targeting so as to constrict our nuclear options.  The point is that having caused `unacceptable damage' is no consolation for ending up as a recipient of the same.

 

The need clearly is to move beyond independent, institutionally espoused, doctrines.  It is not solely task of the NSC, with its own dIND being but one more doctrine in need of integration.  Given the lacunae dwelt on already, two aspects, in terms of the direction of evolution, need highlighting.  With regard to the army doctrine, it is to rethink the sine qua non of the political utility of military force.  In so far as the dIND goes, it is to repeat history in moving beyond the hint of `massive retaliation' in it, in favour of `flexible response'.

First lets take the army and its doctrine.  Its professional concern of furnishing and delivering on the extreme option of high intensity conventional conflict in pursuit of a political objective needs to be diluted.  Even if nuclearisation of a conflict is taken as a `last resort', and there is no guarantee of this being so, a quest for, `decisive victory' may be counter-productive.  Thus the `go for it' `once and for all' thinking in the army has to be resensitised to the clausewitz thesis.  Nuclearisation compels Limited War.  From the army's push to call the nuclear bluff of Pakistan during the Kargil crisis, it is not certain wheather the qualitative change weaponisation begets has been registered.  Reliance on in-conflict deterrence is not a sane option for a government to take.

The second, prescriptive, feature is with regard to the dIND threat of `unacceptable damage'.  While there are other problems with this draft, informed by economics and the perception-misperception theory, here only the aspect of `the nuclear conundrum' is discussed.  Once our forces have been stalled by the nuclear card within Pakistan, the scenario will be one of lightened pressure.  This will spring not only from the army, unwilling to fight from a position of disadvantage, but also from the mob.  Taking the conflict to its logical conclusion will be both a tempting and a daunting proposition.  We will have been denied the justification for inflicting `unacceptable damage'.  Given that `unacceptable damage' would be in a setting when the armies are toe-to-toe,

possibly in high density population areas, the legal, moral, and military viability of the same would have become questionable. 

Thus, there is a need to move beyond the avatar of `massive retaliation', that is the dIND. Massive Retaliation was in place when the superiority of the US over the USSR was unassailable.  After the scare of the missile-gap in late fifties, evolution towards the `flexible response' formulation of McNamara took place.  It would appear India needs to make the transition quicker.  Such a step does not detract from the other plank in our doctrine-that of `no first use'.  In short, the doctrine need not be verbally bellicose as now - `unacceptable damage', indeed! - but be unmistakable about our being released from our `no first use' commitment in face of a nuclear attack.  Since our intent of causing `unacceptable damage' in  return is  credible only  in case our population centres

and nuclear-industrial concentrations are hit, inclusion of military forces as targets that will invite such response makes it less credible.  Since response should be proportionate and discrimatory, a progressively punitive response through target prioritisation needs to be done. Therefore our manner of utilising our nuclear capability would need to be situation-specific, so as to best serve our national interest involved in those straits.  The ambiguity beyond this formulation, in terms of contingency planning, itself contributes to deterrence.  In this direction must the draft evolve in order to get state imprimature.

 

The doctrinal dialectic thus far has had this trajectory: in order to keep the LIC within sub-tolerance threshold, India requires a viable conventional capability; in order to redress the conventional imbalance, Pakistan deems it requires a nuclear deterrent; in order to prevent operational employment of the Pakistani nuclear capability, the dIND posits `unacceptable damage'.  Having seen its credibility as suspect, it is imperative that we move beyond it. 

This can only be possible when the doctrines are integrated.  The present versions are only a `take-off' point and, in that limited sense, serve a purpose.  Given that they are of institutional origin, any evolution may witness institutional conflict.  Here political attention and input will be necessary in taking further formulation beyond the bureaucratic confines of the NSC, into the realm of parliament, the strategic community and the public - as indeed befits a democratic polity.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


 From the archives, 24 Nov 1995 (Vishvasrao is now a Major General.)

LETTER TO THE EDITOR

This letter addresses a point of grave import inadvertently and tangentially raised by Capt Vishvasrao in his article ‘The Pouch’ in the June’95 issue of the INFANTRY.

 

The substantive point in his article is laudable- that the officer for the privilege of ‘leading men’ must validate his commission into the position of command through selfless action.

 

The point is also not the obvious one, which the Ordnance Corps remains oblivious to,- that of the requirement to relegate the present day pouches and allied equipment to the museum.

 

The point at issue is also not the wisdom of employment of ‘agents’ i.e. the encouragement of sahayaks to report on the goings on in the company. Such a manner of keeping a ear to the ground may be a matter of personal leadership style. Suffice it to mention that it may have an adverse impact on mutual trust and, therefore, on cohesion.

 

The point is in the morale related nature of the ‘blood splattered pouches’, referred to by the author. Surely we are beyond the Wild West stage of ‘notching’ the barrels with their respective score of human lives. We must be cautious in abetting false machismo- especially with the blood of fellow citizens. Brutalisation is a phenomenon that creeps in on the unwary to corrode professionalism. Let us remind ourselves of the message of the Gita- to act in a detached and impersonal manner. ‘Personal victory over a militant’ being ‘symbolised’ in any form is a manner of involvement in internal security situations that engenders the attitude of regarding the militant as the enemy- which has historically been proven as being a prelude to disaster.

 

The American experience in Vietnam is instructive in that one of the symptoms of disintegration of the American military was the collection of ‘trophies’, some so inhuman as the ears of the dead Vietcong. By no means is this meant to be a comparison with the elan with which soldiers as the author are performing a distasteful if necessary task. It is merely to alert us to the potential of losing our sensitivity, the precursor to loss of professionalism, in such situations characterised by the author as ‘real operations’. Therefore the apposite nature, though unintended by the author, of the subtitle of the article - ‘Vietcong to Bravo Company’.

 

From the Archives, taken out since we are almost there: 

HINDU INDIA: THE SECURITY DIMENSION 

26 Jan 2003

Two popular views on China’s future contradict each other. To some, Chinese power will rise to end the current unipolar moment. To others, including China watchers in the CIA who periodically release their scare mongering reports to the press, China will fall apart under the weight of its own contradictions, the foremost of which is capitalism in a communist state. Like crystal gazing has seldom been done with respect to India. India is seen reflexively as a Great Power on the make, with a growing economy enabling it to expand its military capabilities. The under-articulated contrary view is that such a future is not axiomatic, but is predicated on continuing social cohesion of India as a nation. This article analyses the dangers attending the rise of Indian national power in conjunction with a decline in its social stability.

 

Such a scenario is not far fetched given the ascendance of the political right on a divisive platform over the recent past. The run up to the next national elections may witness further communal polarization, the election worthiness of the issue being manifest in the Gujarat elections. In the event of national elections returning the ruling party to power unmitigated by its present coalitional constraints, the hindutva agenda to create a Hindu India is likely to be unleashed overtly. The implications of this for national cohesiveness are apparent. Thus the future of advancing Indian economic and military power, accompanied with internal instability, will be realized. Reflecting on the security dimensions of such a future indicates that the current movement towards realization of Hindu India of hindutvavadi dreams is not an unmixed blessing.

 

Rising Indian power will not go uncontested by its perennial adversary, Pakistan. Indian strategy of replicating US strategy towards the Soviet Union of the early eighties to push Pakistan into being a ‘failed’ state, would further corner it. To counter India’s hawkish approach, two options are open to Pakistan. One is the expansion in scope of its proxy war to include other parts of India in collusion with minority elements influenced both by their own fundamentalist inclination and by the broader communalization in the polity. This would complete the vicious circle, for it will be taken as evidence of the fifth column status of the minority, in keeping with the premises of hindutva philosophy of marginalisation of the minority. Secondly, it would lower its nuclear threshold so as to negate the expanding difference between the conventional capabilities of the two states. Indian flexibility in resorting to force, furnished by its expanding capabilities and by the incentive to use them being provided by provocative Pakistan, would thus be constrained, further emboldening Pakistan. Thus Hindu India will not be able to transcend the subcontinent to play a major role on the world stage in keeping with its power trajectory.

 

The Huntingtonian logic of ‘clash of civilizations’ will be on display in relations with China, for India would no longer be a state pursuing its legitimate interests, but a state representing 5000 years of hindu civilization finally coming of age. The undercurrents of antipathy towards China are evident in Indian representations to the US President on Indian motivations for going overtly nuclear. There is also prevalent the determinist understanding in realist security circles that competition with China for space under the Asian sun may turn military over the middle term. The very notion of equating itself with China has an ego-boosting component to it. Arming itself with long-range missiles and pursuing strategic nuclear weapon program puts India into the big league. These tangible security assets supplement the false pride that the other philosophical tenets of hindutva provide. The preparation against the perceived Chinese threat over the long term can only result in materializing the threat. Thus a Hindu India would open yet another front, as also the certainty that its two adversaries so created would collaborate to further threaten it.

 

Bangladesh is a state that bears watching, for there are positive trends in its human development index that will have a bearing on its national power over the long term. This, along with the issues of Bangladeshi ‘immigrants’ into India, makes it necessary to give it separate treatment, rather than club it along with the other smaller Indian neighbors as is routinely done. It is already implicated in providing a base for ISI activities targeting eastern India. Since rival fanaticisms feeds on each other, fundamentalism in Bangladesh and its anti-Indian tendency will only deepen with the saffronisation of India. The use of the ‘immigrant’ issue by the right wing in India will be handy for leveraging itself into power through a campaign of vilifying the minority as a readily available ‘Other’. Corresponding treatment of the hindu minority in Bangladesh will be taken as further justification, since Hindu India would represent not mere citizens but hindus. Therefore, India’s soft underbelly will be even more exposed, even as Hindu India rings itself with neighbors in league with each other.

 

Smaller Indian neighbors will be the sites of contestation of Indian power with the combined power of its larger neighbors. While Bhutan and Maldives may band wagon readily with India, Nepal and Sri Lanka can be expected to balance Indian preponderance with an inclination away from it in at least some issue areas. In Sri Lanka, Buddhist fundamentalism could gain impetus, particularly if Hindu India feels inclined to take a religiously inspired position on a persisting Tamil question. Nepal, already taken as an ISI base, may continue as one if the Maoist insurgency grows. India’s interest in a stable Nepal are particularly acute owing to a proportion of its army being of Nepalese ethnicity and to contiguity of Nepal to India’s nexalite ‘badlands’ stretching from Bihar to Telangana. The status quo in the evolution of the SAARC would continue to deepen. Growing Indian economic power would compel these countries to seal off their economies to preserve them against Indian economic preponderance. Unilateral Indian concessions, though making sound economic and political sense, may be less forthcoming from adrenalin charged Hindu India. Thus, while regions coalesce into economic blocs for greater competitiveness in a globalised world elsewhere, South Asia will miss what shall turn out the most critical trend as the century unfolds. 

 

In its relations with the sole superpower, India has already revealed a disturbing initiative towards being the ‘most allied ally’. There are two fronts along which this association may be boomerang on India. One is that India may lend itself to the ends of a policy of containment of China, thereby enmeshing itself in Great Power games. While this may help the saffron leadership for adopting attitudes of statesmanship, it bears recounting that there is no region that has been left unscathed after having been embraced by the USA.

 

Second is that in trying to gain American attention India has been presenting itself as a similar victim of pan-islamic terrorism. One end of the muslim terrorist arc stretching from Chechenya is deemed to be ending in Kashmir. By projecting its understanding with USA as ‘natural’, India is associating itself with the reactionary reassertion of neo-colonial control of the energy resources, in league with its friend of recent vintage, Israel. Thus, India is opening itself to targeting by partially quasi-nationalist forces, presently deservingly designated ‘terrorist’. The restive minority in a Hindu India could find tactical allies amongst these terrorist forces, quite like the disaffected muslim underworld elements in Bombay who turned to the ISI for engineering the retaliatory Bombay blasts in 1993. Thus ‘islam’s bloody borders’, to use a huntingtonian expression borrowed by Mr. Vajpayee for his controversial anti-minority speech in Goa, would be imported into India. The future may find India on the wrong side of history.

 

The contradiction is that though Indian economic and military power will continue to grow, it will be proportionately less able to cope with the worsening security situation. Economic priorities will leave considerable angst within the vulnerable sections of society. The ‘experiment’ in the ‘hindutva laboratory’ of making the lower classes and tribals participate in anti-minority pogroms would help in psychological projection as also distraction in the short term. Over the long term, the limitations in neo-liberal agenda will surface to compound the internal security problematic. The kind of military power invested in, to include high profile missiles and nuclear weapons; and technology intensive and mechanized armed forces, will be the least appropriate to address the security problems that will arise in Hindu India. The police, in the tradition established by the Bombay police of abnegating professional responsibility, or worse, in determining it to be the service of the hindutva philosophy, will exacerbate the law and order situation. A reversion to the days of the Emergency when a ‘committed’ civil service was thought desirable will occur with similar results, only this time the commitment to hindutva line will rob the Indian state of its traditional neutrality and credibility in intervening in intra-societal conflict. Thus Hindu India will be its own gravest enemy.

 

While the Gujarat electorate has bought the line that the minority ‘threat’ in its midst can best be met by hindutva inspired governance, it would be tragic were this to be replicated at the national scale as is the endeavor of rightist formations. Their effort will be to emulate the resounding victory of Rajiv’s Congress of 1984 in both substance and result. This strategy will have to be combated first conceptually in intellectual discourse and then physically at the hustings. The Geobblesian ‘hindus and hinduism in danger’ line has to be revealed as true, not from the directions pointed out by those crying wolf, but from the scare mongers themselves. Hindu India will not only endanger India, but also will constitute its own greatest threat. Hindu India will not only menace minorities, but also hinduism and hindus.