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Wednesday, 11 February 2026

 https://open.substack.com/pub/aliahd66/p/the-naravane-memoirs-whats-ucchit?utm_source=direct&r=i1fws&utm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web

The Naravane memoirs: What’s ucchit and what’s not

It will take the then Fire & Fury corps commander’s memoirs to reveal which of his two superiors – the army commander or the army chief – has got it wrong in their respective autobiographies on the occupation of Kailash range.

While the then army commander, Lt Gen YK Joshi, presented the operation as a quid pro quo one, designed to even the psychological score with China, the then army chief, Gen Naravane, stays true to what was put out in the media at the time, that the operation was to pre-empt another attempted land-grab by China.

Since the corps commander in question, Lt Gen Harinder Singh, appears not to figure in the good books of his two superiors, his perspective might shake up things decidedly more than the current shindig over vignettes doing the rounds of the social media from Naravane’s yet-to-be-cleared book, Four Stars of Destiny.

Significantly, he’d be able to tell-all on who ordered the eviction of the tents at Galwan, a matter Naravane’s book glosses over. Since lives were lost, getting to his version is critical for accountability, with Naravane hinting that the matter was raised with the national security adviser.

Clearly, someone ordered a colonel – the Mahavir Bikumalla Santosh Babu - to evict the tents pitched by the Chinese. Some two months into the crisis, both sides were reasonably well-prepared with clubs and spiked truncheons to inflict telling casualties on each other.

This episode prompted Indian repositioning of troops onto Ladakh - Operation Snow Leopard - that enabled the army’s subsequent quid pro quo operation: the occupation of Kailash range.

Naravane’s version is that the operation was in response to Chinese troop movements by night at Chuti Changla in the area of Pangong Tso on 29 August. With troops on hand, another land-grab by China was a planned-for contingency. Northern Command reacted the very next night, 30th August, using mountain strike corps elements to occupy heights and features flanking the lake.

When the China Study Group (CSG) met at a pre-scheduled meeting that very forenoon, Naravane asked that next steps be approved: the race to the top of the balance stretches of Kailash range.

Before any afterthoughts could upend the consent for a ‘go ahead’ at the meeting, the military operations branch quickly passed on the orders. As to whether the CSG has any legal and formal accountability for decision making is another, if major, question.

However, restrictive rules on firing – requiring firing for immediate effect in self-defence only by elements directly threatened - remained in place. These were to be truly tested night on 31st August.

With the operation over two nights competently executed, the Indians could espy the Chinese reaction building up in the Spanggur gap and Moldo garrison below the heights seized. On 31 August, as Chinese tanks moved upslope Lt Gen ‘Jo’ Joshi asked for permission to open up medium artillery fire.

At this juncture, Naravane updated the external affairs minister, the national security adviser and the chief of defence staff, asking of each, “What are my orders?” Apparently, Naravane wanted the restrictive terms of reference on firing lifted in face of imminent danger to forward troops.

It’s not obvious that when the buck for the army stopped with the raksha mantri, why the latter three - even if members of the cabinet committee on security (CCS) - needed to be posed the question.

A follow-up update to the raksha mantri elicited the response that he would revert after checking with the very ‘top.’ A while later, Naravane received the now-immortal marching orders: ‘Jo ucchit samjho woh karo.’

Naravane recounts his moment of command solitude thereafter. Strangely, Naravane was in his official accommodation, rather than in the operations room. In the event, the Indians held their nerve and the Chinese blinked, stared-down by the barrels of T-90 tanks purposely swiveled downslope.

Eventually, following the army’s heroic deployment through winter at those heights, India leveraged the advantage so gained in getting the Chinese to concede on their intrusions on the north bank.

From the narrative, the regime appears justified in its tight control over escalatory possibilities. Perhaps its confidence was from from diplomatic and intelligence channels on the wider Chinese position. Both the NSA as special representative and EAM had post-Galwan interfaced with their counterparts.

As for the later delegation on opening fire to the army chief, it is also only right that it did so considering that the input of the chief himself along such lines. The operational manoeuvre could have gone wrong, showing up the ‘only fire in self-defence’ ruling as unrealistic.

To be sure, the earlier restrictive rules of engagement show up a reluctance to chance escalation on India’s part. This is of a piece with the ‘common sense’: “As a smaller economy, I am going to pick up a fight with the bigger economy?” Giving itself a strategic doctrine is a government’s privilege. War avoidance is mostly a sensible strategy and it’s a government’s call to make.

On his part, Naravane was proven right in retaining the authority to fire when delegated to him. He was aware that in the two preceding days there were no indicators of any vigorous and violent Chinese response, rightly discounting the provocative probing from their side as posturing.

Alongside, the Chinese had even sent feelers on de-escalation, with a brigadier also responding to an ad-hoc border meeting on local de-escalation called for by the Chinese. These could have been deception measures too, since a troop of tanks resumed their march uphill. Naravane rightly reckoned that these might have been sacrificial lambs intended by the Chinese to instigate a casus belli.

In nutshell, the government authorized the mobilization and approved the resulting quid pro quo operation. Having demonstrated India’s determination not be cowed, it could do without provoking escalation into an undesired war.

This begs the question: Why is the government unwilling to be identified with a boldly executed plan that enabled the leverage that followed? Why not take up ownership of a plan that embellishes its muscular image?

The answer is in the regime has been boxed in by its own rhetoric. It has projected such an image of itself and it cannot afford any detraction from it. Naravane’s approaching the political master for devolving fire control responsibilities busts the myth of the army being given a ‘free hand.’

A different reading of the narrative is warranted. The army seemingly aware of the regime’s pusillanimity appears to have forced the regime’s hand in three instances.

One, not only did the army initiate the operation but also – two - forced a decision out of the CSG. Clearly, the political masters required goading. A company-worth of Chinese movements supplied the cover. That the Chinese had earlier intruded with impunity was not enough to settle scores.

Third, Naravane later succeeded in wresting the authority for fire control over three calls made over two hours to Rajnath Singh. Even a loosening of their grip over fire control required Naravane generating a scare scenario with Chinese tanks trudging uphill.

In effect, both Naravane and Joshi can be taken as right (at least until Harinder Singh tells us otherwise). A quid pro quo operation was indeed launched per Joshi’s telling, but only under hard-sell by Naravane to a reluctant political master.

The extracts of the memoirs in public domain throw up three observations on policy and decision making. Taken together, these should serve as backdrop for any thrust towards an offensive strategic doctrine and structural innovation underway.

At the level of individual actors, for Naravane to wish to redeem institutional honour – that took a beating with the intrusions on his watch - is unexceptionable. Since a Kargil-like rebound or even a reflexive quid pro quo action was ruled out with the regime dithering, clearly ‘something’ had to be done. If he ordered the eviction of tents at Galwan (his memoirs are indistinct on this), then he may have had a personal animus to settle too.

At the institutional level, the army appears to have wrested for itself more strategic space bottom-up than considered congenial by an unwilling regime. Imagine the denouement if ‘Jo’ Joshi were an integrated theatre commander, the CDS operationally empowered and the defence minister a rank ignoramus!

At the political level, the political master appears rather too timid to be a trustworthy custodian of national security. Being chary over the use of force indicates the regime’s strategic infelicity. Its loud self-advertisement to the contrary reinforces suspicion that tom-toming its muscularity is but a symptom of its insecurity.


Posted by ali at 20:25
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Monday, 19 January 2026

A national security doctrine in one word: ‘Revenge’


https://m.thewire.in/article/government/india-now-has-a-national-security-doctrine-revenge


https://aliahd66.substack.com/p/a-national-security-doctrine-in-one?r=i1fws


Speaking at a youth summit in Delhi, National Security Adviser (NSA) Ajit Doval called on his young listeners to nurse revenge as part of their mindset. His address was timed with his boss, Prime Minister Narendra Modi, turning up playing the damru at the millenary commemorative function of the raid on Somnath temple.

Another introductory dot that needs connecting is the hype around Vande Mataram, at the 150th anniversary of its composition. That the song was later inserted into the Anandamath, that called for revenge against the then - Muslim - rulers in Bengal. That revenge is the flavor of the season is clear from the selfie-points at the book fair in Delhi with Modi’s cut-out handing out the book. Vande Mataram is also theme of this year’s Republic Day parade cultural flotillas.

That the NSA elevates revenge as guiding light for youth implies that he also holds the sentiment in tight embrace. Surely, it impacts his mandate of input to national security policy. Operation (Op) Sindoor has been described as a retaliatory or retributive action, showing the influence of revenge as an ideological lodestar on national security.

To be sure, retribution has a place in strategic repertoire. It is mainstay of the doctrine of ‘deterrence by punishment,’ which has it that any uncalled-for maneuver by an adversary will be met with a firm response, the surety of which is expected to deter. Op Sindoor instilled such confidence that deterrence by punishment is now explicitly India’s strategic doctrine – against Pakistan at any rate.

The caveat is that since the national security doctrine is a differentiated one – against a stronger and a weaker adversary – it is such only against the weaker one, Pakistan. Against China, it is deterrence by denial, with India presenting the certainty of a prickly response in case of Chinese incursions.

India now has a national security doctrine with ‘revenge’ as leitmotif. Does an instinct for revenge secure India? Here I probe three national security concerns – Pakistan, Kashmir and internal security - to see if this is indeed the case.

Against Pakistan

India disregards President Trump’s repeated boast that the United States’ good offices had anything to do with the pause in operations. To India, Pakistan’s chief of operations was brought to the phone by a combination of messages sent in Op Sindoor. While the air force through its last salvo indicated an ability to interdict any Pakistani upping of the ante, the army postured on land and the navy at sea in such a manner as to pose an unmanageable threat.

What was in the works for the last quarter-century has now been officially adopted in the Pakistan-specific strategic doctrine. Not only was a military doctrine – colloquially called cold start – in place, but earlier ‘surgical strikes’ had taken it a step further, from articulation to practice.

The danger is in learning cultural lessons from Op Sindoor: that revenge works. Now on, since India has owned up to a strategic doctrine, it would be held to it. Deterrence dissipates if there is no follow through on what’s promised. In such a case, it shouldn’t find itself instead hoisted by its own petard.

Revenge is not necessarily an unreasonable response for a prior wrong by the other side. However, in the case of India-Pakistan equations, the hand of intelligence actors and non-state actors on both sides stretches as far back as Partition. Consequently, what came first – the egg or the hen – can only remain uncertain. Such a doctrine can also set the stage for a covert black-flag operation to serve as trigger for a premeditated launch of war.

Getting even can also go quite wrong. In Op Sindoor 2, if the Pakistanis hold out for longer, India would require to unleash its coiled fist, referred to by the army chief in the traditional Army Day self-congratulatory press conference. It does not make much sense to rely on the good sense of someone like then-General Asim Munir.

Now it’s a field marshal we have to deal with. He as the newly-minted chief of defence force (CDF) heads the nuclear force, freshly combined and conveniently placed under him. Pakistan has also given itself a rocket force, while we are step behind. The CDF is an empowered chief of defence staff, a matter we have not come around to discussing as the slovenly debate on theaterisation is yet to get there. Op Sindoor has evidently provoked Pakistan down a route that can only prove more lethal.

If General Vij’s perspective (he is as close as it gets to the regime, having headed Doval’s think tank) in his latest book is to be taken at face value (p. 141), theaterisation may end up involving four levels of headquarters for tackling Pakistan – the CDS’, the services’, the integrated theater command and the respective service commands. In contrast, Pakistan will have Pindi with hardliner, if not quite jihadist, Munir, in charge.

India’s revenge doctrine will rely on Munir – till 2030 for now – to take the hint and back off. If Munir does not, then India expects to use its new-fangled Rudras and Bhairaavs. As next step, India would be constrained to up the ante, which means using more persuasive military force on hand. Such progression is inevitable if longer wars are ruled-in. Recall too, for once even PM Modi faced a backlash for calling off Op Sindoor, and that too from his own constituency.

The step up from deterrence by punishment to compellence might prove a short and swift one. Doval says the point of war is to get the other side to concur with our will i.e., compellence. This would bring up the nuclear factor unmistakably.

If General Vij’s book is anything to go by – and there are no other pointers since there is an across-the-board clamp-down on nuclear related articulation – the usual nuclear nonsense prevails that India can survive a nuclear exchange while Pakistan cannot. However, Vij – perhaps for the first time for an Indian - also admits that a situation of mutual assured destruction prevails in South Asia, admitting to Pakistan having a second-strike capability (p. 126). It is incomprehensible how acknowledging this does not lead to precluding massive retaliation the only option. The revenge doctrine – implicit in the nuclear doctrine of ‘massive’ retaliation - might kick in at absolutely the wrong moment.

The problem with Doval as NSA is that his proximity to the seat of power and an inflated reputation conspires towards reticence in interlocutors to speak truth to power. Therefore, the dangers of the new-found strategic doctrine will unlikely find resonance where it should.

In Kashmir

That revenge is at the heart of Indian security thinking is clearer in the regime’s Kashmir policy. Reputedly, Doval has been central to security thinking on Kashmir all through the troubles. Prior to their outbreak he was our intelligence hand within Pakistan, presumably seething to give it back to the Pakistani Inter-Services Intelligence.

Peace possibilities over the years were spiked by hawks on both sides, with Doval in retirement as the doyen on this side. Retrospect suggests that the outreach early in the Modi years was a cosmetic exercise to allow an alibi for the regime to switch to what it wished to all along: be tough with Pakistan and its internal proxies within Kashmir. This collapsing of the internal and external foes into one explains the dragnet continuing.

No measures are in place to assure a dignified return of displaced Kashmiri Pandits. Their displacement is a plausible reason – if perversely so - for vengeance; along with perhaps a constituency aligned with Pakistan. Kashmir continues to simmer despite the ministrations of Kashmir-cum-terrorism expert Doval. It also remains vulnerable sans a government of empowered indigenes. It is potentially open to further indignities. These by keep it simmering complete the circle by legitimating a heavy hand.

The results are already apparent. ‘White collar’ terror has made an advent. Of those neutralized in operations last year, over a third are locals. That India did not go to war on the latest terror instance in Delhi indicates India is sensitive to limitations of a default doctrine of revenge. Its preferred option a trifle unusable, dangers mount when an intelligence game continues across borders.

In internal security

Since Doval was goading on a civilian audience, he cannot but have been privy to effect of revenge already wrought across the land, be it against Muslims or, more recently, Christians. Doval twice-over mentions ‘our temples’ being demolished, while underlining ‘our’ contrasting peaceable instincts. Doval compounded his provocation by alluding to the Jewish intent to never allow succeeding generations to forget their ‘promised land.’ Does he need reminding that a recently-witnessed genocide is the result of such kind of myth-making? Or is this a cryptic reference to an akhand bharat?

Not taking cudgels on his historical understanding, but surely Doval knows the benefits of polarization resulting from such thinking for his political masters. If he speaks from conviction, it raises issues of conflict of interest: is he leveraging his political utility for longevity in office? He makes it easy to avoid a charge of ageism when calling him out as but another WhatsApp uncle.

Doval could have defined revenge as a dish eaten cold, as satisfaction from seeing adversaries look down, shamed by India outdistancing them in progress. But there is no reason to put words into Doval’s mouth. He knew what he was doing: to divert youth – who’ve may take the wrong cues from their neighbouring Gen ‘Z’ cohorts – from the twinned economic and democratic backslide at home. Doval – in competition with Amit Shah for the title of Chanakya – has the omnibus national security rationale to practice the fine art of displacement.

The key national security outcome of Doval’s speech is in the creation of an anarchical environment within, with the State liable to lose the monopoly of violence to right-wing hordes. Doval, the longest serving NSA in his legacy term, will not be around to right things. From the looks of things, nor indeed will be the last bastion, the army, if a recent unedifying scrummage by constitutional functionaries and their hangers-on - who will rule in a world without a Doval - is anything to go by.

At last, at least we have it

A rather condensed one, but India now has a national security doctrine: revenge. The problem with this doctrine is that it does not provide for resolution, but only band-aids with an ever-shortening expiry date. Indeed, it precludes search for common space and lost ground. Doval has delivered a perfect fit for a majoritarian philosophy.

But what it sets up is the potential for India to be waylaid by war. Deterrence by punishment has the underside of projecting a ‘bring it on’ posture. Being overly reliant on the good sense – a suspect commodity at the best of times – of the other side is not fail-safe. In a nuclearized space, it could fail-deadly.

Posted by ali at 16:34
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  • deterrence (7)
  • diplomacy (7)
  • military doctrine (6)
  • obama (6)
  • subconventional doctrine (6)
  • command and control (4)
  • conventional war (4)

About Me

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Ali Ahmed is author of India's Doctrine Puzzle: Limiting War in South Asia (Routledge 2014). He has been a UN official and an infantryman. Twitter - @aliahd66; Also once blogged at www.subcontinentalmusings.blogspot.in. This blog carries the liberal perspective in strategic studies. It is to assist with forming a well rounded opinion on strategic matters in the region. It covers topics such as military, nuclear, internal security, Kashmir, minority security, military sociology etc. It is intended to enrich thought and broaden the mind. Drop by often and pass the word...
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From Within: Reflections On India's Army

  • From Within: Reflections On India's Army

On India's Military: Writings From Within

  • On India's Military: Writings From Within

USI Project 1999-2000

  • Institutional Interest: A Study in Indian Strategic Culture

MPhil dissertation

  • Cambridge University
  • Cambridge University

MA dissertation

  • KCL War Studies
  • King's College London

MSc dissertation

  • DSSC
  • DSSC

Download book from dropbox

  • India: A Strategic Alternative
  • India: A Strategic Alternative

On War in South Asia

  • On War in South Asia
  • On Peace in South Asia

On Peace in South Asia

On Peace in South Asia
Commentaries on strategic issues

On War in South Asia

On War in South Asia
Commentaries on military issues

Book

  • Read India's Doctrine Puzzle at Google Books

India's Doctrine Puzzle

India's Doctrine Puzzle
Limiting War in South Asia

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Subcontinental Musings at indiatogether.org

  • Subcontinental Musings column

Farah Art Creations

  • Farah Art Creations link

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